Draftkings optimizer

Hello all:
I created an algorithm to optimize lineups for Draftkings based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release, for free, two lineups: one for GPP tournaments and one for cash games. The early lineups are up now on Discord, and I'll post an update 30 minutes or so before roster lock if there is late line movement. Cash lineup has hit 13 of the last 18 events! At the very least you can see where Vegas sees value in fighters.
We are also launching our first season of the Beat the Algo competition. You can submit your own lineup (for free) for the next 5 events and see how you do vs. the algorithm. Winner gets some cool UFC memorabilia.
Discord: https://discord.gg/PF5FE3CC
Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
Good luck everyone!

Hello all:
I created an algorithm to optimize lineups for Draftkings based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release, for free, two lineups: one for GPP tournaments and one for cash games. The early lineups are up now on Discord, and I'll post an update 30 minutes or so before roster lock if there is late line movement. Cash lineup has hit 13 of the last 18 events! At the very least you can see where Vegas sees value in fighters.
Right now the algo likes Clark and Hawes as dogs - what do you think?
Discord: https://discord.gg/S9NeuDPH
Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
Good luck everyone!

Hello all:
I created an algorithm to optimize lineups for Draftkings based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release, for free, two lineups: one for GPP tournaments and one for cash games. The early lineups are up now on Discord, and I'll post an update 30 minutes or so before roster lock if there is late line movement. Cash lineup has hit 13 of the last 18 events! At the very least you can see where Vegas sees value in fighters.
Discord: https://discord.gg/K8pZbrNT
Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
Good luck everyone!

Hello all:
I created an algorithm to optimize lineups for Draftkings based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release, for free, two lineups: one for GPP tournaments and one for cash games. The early lineups are up now on Discord, and I'll post an update 30 minutes or so before roster lock if there is late line movement. Cash lineup has hit 13 of the last 17 events. At the very least you can see where Vegas sees value in fighters.
Discord: https://discord.gg/Te8eeDTv
Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
Good luck everyone!

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https://twitter.com/dfsedric/status/1647230072888205312
I have a post up with the latest in odds and leverage. Its free and hopefully helpful for someone out there. Last week's post had a user finish in the top 5 of a GPP for 1500 i believe. Lets keep it going!
Optimal percentages, Odds, Leverage, Ownership all bundled into my charts to find value and such. Good luck!
Direct link: https://www.dfsed.com/post/dfs-ufc-odds-and-leverage-for-draftkings-holloway-vs-allen-april-2023

Hello all:
I created an algorithm to optimize lineups for Draftkings based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release, for free, two lineups: one for GPP tournaments and one for cash games. The early lineups are up now on Discord, and I'll post an update 20 minutes or so before roster lock if there is late line movement. Cash lineup has hit 12 of the last 16 events. At the very least you can see where Vegas sees value in fighters.
Discord: https://discord.gg/y5TFYUEa
Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
Good luck to everyone!

Hello all: Last week was crazy with a mid-card cancellation, but we still managed to cash somehow! That makes the Algo cash lineup 12 out of 15 since we started.
I created an algorithm to optimize Draftkings MMA lineups based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release them for free, here: https://discord.gg/hU33VuDw and on my Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
I will release early lineups (for cash and GPP contests) around 12pm PST today on Discord. Lineup lock is 3pm PST, and I will post any last minute changes based on betting line shifts about 15 minutes before roster lock. Hopefully this can help people as a jumping off point. Good luck!

Hello all: Last week we all cashed in both cash games and GPP! That makes the Algo cash lineup 11 out of 14 since we started.
I created an algorithm to optimize Draftkings MMA lineups based on Vegas odds instead of expert projections. I release them for free, here: https://discord.gg/hU33VuDw and on my Twitter: https://twitter.com/BridgeFourFit
I will release final lineups (for cash and GPP contests) around 1pm PST today. Lineup lock is 130pm PST. Hopefully this can help people as a jumping off point. Good luck!

Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA (select parishes)/MA/MD/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OH/OPA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. 21+ (18+ NH/WY). I’ve played Mike, I’ve played Will, I played Sam, I played in the 4-3, I’ve played in landmark defenses, I’ve played in match defenses, I’ve played in man defenses. . ============================================================= AZ will not pass on the 3 best defense players avail,…Jalen Carter, Chris Gonzalez, or Will Anderson. So, I’m competing to get to the ball every play, that’s the biggest thing, and then obviously, whatever my assignment is, I want to be assignment sound. Across 117 games in the regular season, he totaled 569 tackles, 27 sacks, one safety, one interception, five fumble recoveries, two forced fumbles and two touchdowns. Odds and lines subject to change. See terms at draftkings. com/sportsbook. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void in ONT. 1 pick and we were looking for trade options,” Lynch said, via Cam Inman of the Bay Area News Group. Both Brady and his ex-wife, Gisele Bundchen, had key roles in the company. The US dollar isn’t worth the paper it’s printed on…unless it’s backed by something (a gov’t, gold, etc) that has legitimate value (aka collateral). 3 overall pick in the 2018 draft can bring to the Bay Area. “I feel we’ve studied him forever, back when he was [a potential] No. That seems like it would be too low to select Young, as there are three QB-needy teams in the top four of the draft. DT, CB, or Edge. ———– They won’t have to. One of the rising teams in the NFC last season, the Lions made major upgrades in the secondary with the free agent additions of Sutton, Moseley, Gardner-Johnson. pic. twitter. com/2vNTbnEVkf“My dad’s warming up, and he’s a real rough and rugged guy,” Brown Jr. said. The 2022 draft class of Walker, Abraham Lucas, Charles Cross, Tariq Woolen and Coby Bryant gives Seattle reason for optimism with its 2023 draft picks in tow. - Alpha AI

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Hello all - I run an algorithm that produces a optimal lineups for Draftkings for both GPP and Cash contests. It optimizes not based on expert projections but on Vegas odds, using the wisdom of the crowd instead. I've posted early look lineups on my discord channel: https://discord.gg/rt2nDQNf and will update at 11am PST and then right before lineups lock. It's all free, no strings attached, I do it for fun. And hopefully it helps a few people out!

Every event I use derived win %'s based on Vegas odds (and a few other factors), to produce the optimal lineup based on Draftkings salaries. In the past 12 events, the GPP algo lineup has had two 6-0 results, and the Cash lineup has finished in the money 9/12 times.
I post both a GPP lineup and Cash lineup, for free, in my Discord here: https://discord.gg/rt2nDQNf
Early look lineups are up now, and I will post the final lineups at 130pm PST (an hour before they lock).
It might serve as a good jumping off point for you sharps out there. Good luck and have fun, and let's see if there is a god and Jon Jones loses consciousness tonight.

DraftKings price target raised to $28 from $23 at Oppenheimer 

Oppenheimer raised the firm's price target on DraftKings to $28 from $23 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after management raised its 2023 revenue/EBITDA outlook by 2%/$125M on higher holds, better customer retention, improving marketing efficacy and headcount optimization. The firm sees further profitability upside on lower CPAs in new markets and potential to improve holds outside of football.

Recap of news helping trigger momentum for a few penny stocks:

DCFC Stock News

This week Tritium gave several updates, including selling more than 300 EV fast chargers to a Danish fuel retailer, OK. In addition, while other companies are slashing jobs, Tritium announced it would add more than 250 to its workforce in Tennessee. At peak capacity, the facility is expected to produce up to 30,000 units annually.

JSPR Stock News

This week Jasper announced that it presents data supporting its ongoing briquilimab development. CEO Ronald Martell explained, “As we focus the development of briquilimab on treating chronic mast cell diseases and as a conditioning agent for stem cell transplants addressing rare diseases, we believe that the data presented at the Transplantation & Cellular Therapy Meetings of ASTCT and CIBMTR provides the additional mechanistic and clinical proof-of-concept rationale for its mechanism of targeting c-Kit.”
Considering the meeting is being held this week through February 19th, it could be important timing if JSPR stock is on your watch list this week.

EOSE Stock News

This week the market got the official timing on when it will receive the final figures for 2022. The energy company releases its Q4 and full-year on February 28th after the closing bell. If EOSE stock is on your watch list, keep that in mind.

EBET/SBET Stock News

In this case, industry-related headlines have brought some sympathy sentiment to betting stocks. DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG), a market leader in the space, announced better-than-expected Q4 results. It also raised its 2023 guidance, which brought more optimism to the sports betting and wagering industry-related stocks.
This includes other micro-cap stocks like EBET & SharpLink Gaming Ltd. Since this is more sympathy-related and not specific to EBET or SBET, it will be interesting to see if there is any follow-through momentum in the market in the near term.

Came up with this last year and we enjoyed it. It's similar to DFS but plays through the wild card, divisional and conference weeks.
We did 4 teams last year, but I think 5 teams could work too.
Each team drafts 18 players, optimal scoring lineup counts each week (so no choosing starters or picking up FA's after you draft). Team with the most points scored after the three weeks wins it all.
We used 0.5PPR format since Draftkings DFS has that as the standard setting for their games so I could just take the scoring values straight from there.
Key is to consider which teams you think will remain in the playoffs. One team only had 4 players to start in the third week last year, but it didn't even matter because Mahomes, Mike Evans and Kelce were smoking hot in the playoffs last year.

Hello everyone! I am new to the subreddit trying to help grow a largely forgotten about contest type that doesn't get enough buzz. Showdown slates can still be extremely profitable if played correctly and I want to help you guys do just that! If you get overwhelmed on multi-game slates trying to balance injury news and roster construction, then SD could be perfect for you! We will look at optimal CPTN's, injury news and the effects they have on each team's lineup, pivots off of the chalk and MORE! I want to help teach everyone here how to properly attack a single game slate and be profitable long term. A lot gets talked about for main slate NBA, but SD slates fall behind and still have a decent contest selection for the late night. With that being said, let's get down to it!
Recap of Previous Night: In Gafford we trusted and in Gafford we failed. I think I bubbled 60% of my lineups tonight and he was the reason. You have to have the brain of a goldfish though in DFS. I would have made that play 100/100 times with Kristaps out so it is all good. Everything else was pretty spot on. To be honest, and this happens from time to time, the winning lineup was a massive train so not likely anyone came out in the green last night unless you max entered and hit the nuts or you single bullet shipped the top spot that was duped by close to 100 people. We move onto today's scaryyy 14 gamer, but lets make it a lot less stressful and just play the late slate!
Hornets @ Lakers SD Preview

• Implied Total: 236
• Lakers -3.5
  
• Pace:
  
  • Hornets: 9th (Pace Up)
  • Lakers: 2nd (Pace Down/Neutral)
• Defensive Efficiency:
  
  • Hornets: 25th (Neutral Matchup)
  • Lakers: 17th (Easy Matchup)
• Injury News
  
  • Terry Rozier: Doubtful
  • Austin Reaves: Questionable

Captain
I am getting a bit annoyed with Draftkings for the soft pricing in these late SD slates. Lebron James ($16,200 CPTN) should be like $12,000 but he is here at $10,800 so this is pretty much a smash him at CPTN and get different at UTIL type of night. Like does anyone other than LaMelo have a ceiling that even approaches his and we have the value to get him at CPTN. In the month of December he has gone under 48 DK points just once and everything else was pretty much 50-60 DK points. This is a perfect matchup against a top 10 pace team that plays virtually zero defense. What more do we have to say. If you want to get a bit different, I think it is perfectly acceptable to go with a Russell Westbrook ($12,300 CPTN) at CPTN as well with the ceiling he brings. He will come off of the bench for 30ish minutes against a unit led by... checks notes... Theo Maledon... Like c'mon. He should also smash and he might afford you the luxury of not having to punt all the way down to someone like Maledon. Other than those two, I think LaMelo Ball ($15,000 CPTN) with his usage can even outscore Lebron so he is fine at half the CPTN ownership (I think, haven't gotten to build lineups yet). The Lakers are poor at defending the G spot so he should smash here and is coming off of a 63 DK point game. My last CPTN is none other than Thomas Bryant ($10,200 CPTN) with how terrible the Hornets are against bigs. He should come in, get close to a double double and walk outta here with 30+ DK points easy. Almost every big against Charlotte does that. No problems with any of these 4 guys at CPTN and there is probably a 85% chance one of them is the optimal CPTN.
Utility
Starting with the Hornets, we should get a similar rotation to the other night against the Clippers. LaMelo/Oubre/Hayward/Washington/Plumlee will start with Theo, Richards, McDaniels and maybe Thor getting any meaningful minutes. Ball seems like a must so lock him in somewhere. From there you have both Oubre and Hayward that fill a similar role. Oubre seems to have the higher ceiling so I would assume ownership steams him up here. He is coming off of a bad game which is slightly concerning and the SG spot might be one of the only spots the Lakers defend at a solid level. I would maybe look to fade him so you can afford the LBJ or LaMelo CPTN and just hope Hayward can get you there. He didn't play well last game either, but the defensive matchup is fine and he will get the minutes. He is one I am fine with but not going to be pressed to get into my lineup. I do however love Plumlee in this spot. The Lakers are also pretty bad against C's without Davis and the production from Plumlee this year is probably at a career best for him. He should play 25ish minutes with pretty decent usage and as long as he doesn't get into foul trouble will be a 1 PPM type of guy. His backup, Nick Richards, is a streaky dude who might be on the downturn. I still like him here since he busted at pretty solid ownership last game. I think some people will be off of him for Maledon. I think he should bounce back to normal mid to low 20's minutes. Last game the Clippers just went small so the Hornets matched with PJ or McDaniels at C. I wouldn't run out both Plumlee and Richards, but I like both. Speaking of PJ, He is a dude that always flies under the radar at low ownership and we know the ceiling can be high if his shot is falling. Lebron doesn't play much defense any more so I think his shot will be there. I might actually like him over Hayward given the ownership and just hope he has a big game at the low ownership. The bench unit is rounded out with Theo who should see around 20 minutes and is cheap enough to let you get most of the studs and Lebron or Ball at CPTN. I love him here once again. The Lakers are bad against G's, especially off of the bench. McDaniels coming off of a huge game seems like an easy fade. He is typically a low usage dude that doesn't top 20 DK points often. I just hate playing low usage guys at decent ownership in SD. It fails you more often than not. The last dude to talk about is JT Thor but I doubt he becomes a legit factor. He only played decent run because it was a blowout last game.
Onto the Lakers, Lebron is a lock somewhere so play him at UTIL or CPTN. Given we should see Westbrook active and I expect Reaves to play tonight, the starting lineup will be SchrodeBeverley/WalkeLebron/Bryant with Westbrook, Troy Brown and Reaves getting meaningful minutes with Jones, Gabriel and maybe Christie getting some minutes as well. This is I think the first time this season we will get a roster like this for the Lakers. They haven't had all of their guards active without AD this season, so hopefully we can nail the rotation. Here is how I see it shaking out:

• PG Minutes: Schroder 12, Westbrook 28, Beverley 8
  
• SG Minutes: Reaves 12, Schroder 14, Walker 10, Beverley 12
  
• SF Minutes: Walker 22, Lebron 12, Reaves 14
  
• PF Minutes: Lebron 20, Gabriel 10, Brown 10, Walker 2, Jones 6
  
• C Minutes: Bryant 28, Gabriel 8, Jones 10, Lebron 2
  
• Minutes Total: Lebron 34, Westbrook 28, Walker 32, Schroder 26, Beverley 20, Bryant 28, Jones 16, Reaves 26, Brown 10, Gabriel 18
  

Jesus this team needs to shed some of their guards at the deadline (Bulls trade?). With this I just can't see a way as long as Reaves plays that Christie sees any minutes. It doesn't make any sense. I think you can maybe take some off of Damion Jones and give them to Christie, but everything else here seems right with what roster they should have tonight. Also with this I don't think you can go Brown in a SD format so we really only have 9 guys to talk about. Westbrook can get 40+ DK points in just 28 minutes and I think that is a low number to give him but he does have a foot injury so maybe they just limit him a bit. Lonnie seems like a great play at his price and ownership. Hornets are bad all around so no reason he can't keep his run of great form going. Schroder I would temper expectations for with Westbrook and Reaves coming back. I would maybe think about him if Reaves sits, so just keep an eye out for updates. Beverley is such a low usage guy I don't know how you play him. Bryant feels like a lock as well so play him wherever you can. Jones and Gabriel could be the tickets to a takedown tonight. I would heavily lean Gabriel just because the Hornets also go small at times and he has been getting minutes lately. The price is cheap and he can get you 10+ easily with a decent ceiling. Jones is fine but he did only get 6 minutes last game. Maybe temper your expectations there. I think Reavers is very much in play if he is active. He is dirt cheap compared to his output as of late and the minutes are pretty much secured. Ownership will likely be suppressed with the Q tag on him as well. Once again, just keep an eye on updates because the Reaves news could lead to some major changes. Christie would likely come into play and Beverley might actually be worth talking about in that event.
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Got some offers I’m very thankful for but no idea which one to choose
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